Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Alex De Minaur Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. De Minaur
Pablo Carreno-Busta
ESP
w
l
w
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
2
Win
2
Played
0
Win
34
Age
26
6'2" (188 cm)
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
125
C. Rank
8
10
Best Rank
6
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$10.7M
Career Money
$13.3M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Alex De Minaur
AUS
w
l
l
w
w
w
w
l
l
w
2
Win
2
Played
0
Win
34
Age
26
6'2" (188 cm)
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
125
C. Rank
8
10
Best Rank
6
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$10.7M
Career Money
$13.3M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Head-To-Head: Carreno-Busta 2 - 0 Minaur
They have played 7 sets in total, with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 6 and Alex De Minaur winning 1. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex De Minaur was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5).
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Carreno-Busta | 2 |
| Minaur | 0 |
Last H2H Matches:
(R3) U.S. Open - New York(09-02-22)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
6
3
7
Alex De Minaur
1
1
6
6
(R2) French Open - Paris(05-29-19)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
6
6
Alex De Minaur
3
1
1
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. D. Minaur H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $10,687,070 | Career Prize Money | $13,263,130 |
| 63.13% (601-351) | Career Total W/L | 64.40% (407-225) |
| 1 | Clay | 0 |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 32 | Titles | 12 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 38.10% (8-13) | YTD Win/Loss | 71.19% (42-17) |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 1 |
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. D. Minaur Match Preview
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.88% of points on their second serve, while Alex De Minaur has won 46.15%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Pablo Carreno-Busta, in recent form, has won 45.79% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alex De Minaur has won 43.61%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.23% and 24.43% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 56.99% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alex De Minaur has saved 50.81% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 53.33% of matches played (W/L 32/ 28), with Alex De Minaur winning 66.22% (W/L 32/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 355/ 186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/ 14). Alex De Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/ 25), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/ 56).
- Player level: In the last year, Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 71.43% of matches (W/L 20/ 8), where as Alex De Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 73.08% of matches (W/L 19/ 7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 2 times and Alex De Minaur being victorious 0 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 6 and Alex De Minaur winning 1. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex De Minaur was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5).
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:25:30.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against opponents with an average rank of 169.05 while Alex De Minaur has played against players with an average rank of 58.46.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 33% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alex De Minaur has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 32.05% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alex De Minaur has converted 32.82% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Alex De Minaur Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. D. Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 6 | Sets Won | 1 |
| 40 | Games Won | 19 |
| 10 | Aces (Total) | 14 |
| 1 | Total Double Faults | 12 |
| 2:25:30 | Avg. Match Time | 2:25:30 |
| 67% (120/178) | 1st Serve % | 57% (130/227) |
| 78% (93/120) | 1st Serve Win % | 64% (83/130) |
| 59% (34/58) | 2nd Serve Win % | 42% (41/97) |
| 46% (12/26) | Break Pts Won % | 9% (1/11) |
| 45% (103/227) | Return Pts Won % | 29% (51/178) |
| 100% (2/2) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 0% (0/2) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won → Match Won | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Won → Match Lost | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost → Match Won | 0% (0/2) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Carreno-Busta 51%, Minaur 56%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Carreno-Busta 54%, Minaur 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Carreno-Busta 62%, Minaur 61%.
P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Waltersdorf Challenger - 15-09-2025 | ||||
QF  Vit KoprivaV. Kopriva | L | 6-2 0-6 6-1 | ||
R2  Sebastian SorgerS. Sorger | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
R1 Lukas NeumayerL. Neumayer | W | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, ESP-DEN 3-2 - 08-09-2025 | ||||
Rubber 5  Elmer MollerE. Moller | W | 6-2 6-3 | ||
Rubber 1 Holger RuneH. Rune | L | 7-5 6-3 | ||
A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUS-BEL 2-3 - 08-09-2025 | ||||
Rubber 4  Zizou BergsZ. Bergs | W | 6-2 7-5 | ||
Rubber 1 Raphael CollignonR. Collignon | L | 7-5 3-6 6-3 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
QF  Felix Auger AliassimeF. Auger | L | 4-6 7-6(7) 7-5 7-6(4) | ||
R4  Leandro RiediL. Riedi | W | 6-3 6-2 6-1 | ||
R3  Daniel AltmaierD. Altmaier | W | 6-7(7) 6-3 6-4 2-0 ret. | ||
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. D. Minaur Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 63.13% (601/351) | YTD Win/Loss | 64.40% (407/225) |
| 60.12% (1411/936) | Sets Win/Loss | 60.80% (971/626) |
| 53.47% (11974/10419) | Games Win/Loss | 53.88% (8137/6966) |
| 64.51% (189/104) | Hard Win/Loss | 67.24% (195/95) |
| 65.62% (355/186) | Clay Win/Loss | 57.25% (75/56) |
| 52.04% (51/47) | Indoor Hard W/L | 62.88% (83/49) |
| 30.00% (6/14) | Grass Win/Loss | 68.35% (54/25) |
| 0.26 | Aces Per Game | 0.29 |
| 2821 | Aces Total | 2178 |
| 0.13 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.21 |
| 1371 | Total Double Faults | 1586 |
| 1:21:2 | Average Match Time | 1:45:15 |
| 482.15 | Average Opponent Rank | 282.27 |
| 64% (35310/55369) | 1st Serve % | 58% (26469/45415) |
| 70% (24608/35310) | 1st Serve Win % | 71% (18683/26486) |
| 52% (10395/20054) | 2nd Serve Win % | 54% (10147/18961) |
| 41% (2264/5464) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1996/4640) |
| 39% (21844/56014) | Return Points Win % | 40% (18890/46879) |
| 59.41% (60/41) | Slam W/L | 64.58% (62/34) |
| 52.59% (71/64) | Masters W/L | 54.24% (64/54) |
| 55.00% (11/9) | Cups W/L | 59.46% (22/15) |
| 56.38% (168/130) | Main Tour W/L | 67.26% (152/74) |
| 0.00% (0/2) | Tour Finals W/L | 0.00% (0/3) |
| 69.95% (142/61) | Challenger W/L | 66.67% (52/26) |
| 77.01% (144/43) | Futures W/L | 74.32% (55/19) |
| 64% (532/836) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 64% (330/517) |
| 59% (61/104) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 66% (72/109) |
| 57% (204/361) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 56% (127/228) |
| 55% (164/300) | Deciding Set Win % | 58% (106/182) |
| 86% (587/507) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 88% (386/338) |
| 13% (587/78) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 12% (386/48) |
| 25% (363/92) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 28% (246/69) |
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